Notes on the Week Ahead

By Dr. David Kelly

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Category: Investing

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Episodes: 259

Description

Listen to the latest insights from Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management to help prepare you for the week ahead.

Episode Date
The Right Track
Apr 29, 2024
The Causes and Consequences of More Volatile Bonds
Apr 22, 2024
The Dollar Dynasty
Apr 15, 2024
The Right Time to Cut Rates
Apr 08, 2024
Wage War
Mar 25, 2024
Dot-Plot Danger and QT Limits
Mar 18, 2024
From Business Cycle to Stretched-Out Expansion
Mar 11, 2024
Japanese Lessons
Mar 04, 2024
The Investment Implications of the Migration Surge
Feb 26, 2024
The Pressures of a Full Employment Economy
Feb 20, 2024
Will Job Market Strength Delay the Inflation Slide?
Feb 05, 2024
Too Much Growth for Early Easing
Jan 29, 2024
A Thaw in Sentiment
Jan 22, 2024
Will Rising Federal Debt Force Rates Higher?
Jan 16, 2024
The Inflation Slide Looks Set to Continue
Jan 10, 2024
Balance Sheets and Resolutions
Jan 02, 2024
The Investment Climate
Dec 12, 2023
Winter Driving: Can the Economy Keep Growing into 2025?
Dec 05, 2023
The Remarkable Resilience of Corporate Margins
Nov 27, 2023
Falling Tensions in a Cooling Economy
Nov 13, 2023
Tracking the Inflation Slide
Nov 06, 2023
Slowdown Delayed; Cooldown Ahead of Schedule
Oct 30, 2023
The Addicted Consumer
Oct 23, 2023
Investing in World of Increasing Complexity
Oct 10, 2023
The Investment Implications of a Rising Federal Deficit
Sep 25, 2023
The View from the Top of Tightening Mountain
Sep 18, 2023
Worrying about Oil
Sep 11, 2023
Unemployment and Wage Inflation
Sep 05, 2023
Letter from Wyoming
Aug 21, 2023
Real Rates in the Long Run
Aug 14, 2023
Bull Market Investing
Aug 09, 2023
The Soft Landing Scenario
Jul 31, 2023
The Inflation Perfectionists
Jul 24, 2023
The Sin of Wages: A Last, Bad Excuse for Monetary Tightening
Jul 10, 2023
The Investment Implications of Consumer Gloom
Jul 05, 2023
Waiting for a Negative
Jun 27, 2023
The Recession Questions: Yes, No, When and How Bad?
Jun 20, 2023
Cooler Inflation and Slower Growth should Convert a Fed Skip into a Fed Pause
Jun 12, 2023
The Steady Normalization of the U.S. Labor Market
May 30, 2023
Sizing up the angles on Fed policy
May 22, 2023
Slow-Motion Slowdown
May 15, 2023
Debt-Ceiling Cliff Dancing
May 01, 2023
When Money Stops Talking
Apr 24, 2023
The Road Back to 2% Inflation
Apr 17, 2023
The Real Threat to Dollar Dominance
Apr 10, 2023
The Recessionary Price of a Faster Decline in Inflation
Mar 28, 2023
The Economic Impact of Banking Turmoil
Mar 20, 2023
The Investment Implications of a Demographic Bounce
Mar 06, 2023
Investing Beyond The Profit Squeeze
Feb 27, 2023
A Seasonal Surge (and its Implications for Jobs, Growth, Inflation and Rates)
Feb 22, 2023
The Lurking Slowdown
Feb 06, 2023
A Turning Point for the Economy
Jan 23, 2023
Debt-Ceiling Danger
Jan 17, 2023
Resolution and Confidence
Jan 03, 2023
The Challenged Consumer
Dec 19, 2022
The Investment Implications of the Oil Slide
Dec 12, 2022
Redhotnot – The Investment Implications of the Job Market Mosaic
Dec 05, 2022
The Investment Implications of the Housing Slump
Nov 22, 2022
Recession Risks: Standing on the Edge of a Swamp
Nov 15, 2022
The Market-Moving Menu of Data and Events
Oct 31, 2022
Lifting the Fog of Uncertainty on Growth, Inflation, Politics and Rates
Oct 24, 2022
The Monetary Implications of Fiscal Drag
Oct 17, 2022
The Slope of the Inflation Slide
Oct 10, 2022
The Recession that Didn’t Bark
Oct 03, 2022
The Scales of Fundamentals and Price
Sep 26, 2022
Why the Fed should worry less about sticky inflation (but probably won’t)
Sep 20, 2022
Job Openings, Recession Risks and Prospects for a Fed Reversal
Sep 06, 2022
The Investment Implications of Jackson Hole
Aug 31, 2022
A Line in the Sand on Inflation
Aug 22, 2022
The Global Inflation War
Aug 16, 2022
The Inflation Cold Front
Aug 08, 2022
Twists and Turns on the Road to a Better Investment Environment
Aug 02, 2022
From Allegro to Adagio: Growth, Inflation and the Fed
Jul 26, 2022
The Lag in the Drag
Jul 11, 2022
The Quiet Machinery of Repair
Jul 05, 2022
The Rollover Race between Growth and Inflation
Jun 28, 2022
Recession Risks and Investment Implications
Jun 22, 2022
The Keeping Cool Heads amidst Hot Inflation
Jun 15, 2022
The Investment Implications of Food and Energy Inflation
Jun 06, 2022
Growth? Inflation? Recession? Principles!
Jun 01, 2022
The Investment Implications of a Falling Budget Deficit
May 16, 2022
Slowing Growth and the Potential for an Extended Soft Landing
May 10, 2022
The Dollar in a World of Worries
May 02, 2022
Killing it Softly: How the Fed should Fight Inflation
Apr 25, 2022
The Economy and Markets after a First-Quarter Roller Coaster
Apr 12, 2022
Where have all the workers gone?
Apr 05, 2022
Small Paddle, Big Rapids: What the Economy Could Do to the Fed
Mar 23, 2022
Getting Going on Monetary Tightening
Mar 14, 2022
Ukraine and the U.S. Economy
Mar 07, 2022
The Financial Backdrop as Ukraine Waits and Worries
Feb 22, 2022
Ukraine: The Investment Implications of a Loser’s Game
Feb 14, 2022
Interest Rates: How High and How Fast?
Feb 07, 2022
Feddle
Jan 31, 2022
Housing and the Fed
Jan 24, 2022
The Recession Scenario
Jan 18, 2022
Shifting Fundamentals Still Point to Higher Rates
Jan 10, 2022
Pumping the Brakes on the U.S. Economy
Jan 03, 2022
The Fed turns more hawkish…for now
Dec 13, 2021
The Great Worker Shortage
Dec 06, 2021
The Investment Implications of Omicron
Nov 29, 2021
More Clarity and Less Stimulus from Washington
Nov 22, 2021
Why Inflation still looks mostly Transitory
Nov 15, 2021
Getting Back on the Recovery Track
Nov 08, 2021
The Pandemic and Financial Waves
Nov 01, 2021
The Stagflation Scare
Oct 18, 2021
Facing Reality on Growth and Inflation
Oct 11, 2021
The American Consumer: Still Ready to Drive the Recovery
Sep 27, 2021
Haircuts and Roulette Wheels: Are we “Due” for a Correction?
Sep 20, 2021
Washington games and their consequences for risks, taxes, stimulus and investing
Sep 13, 2021
Speedbumps on the Road to Recovery
Sep 07, 2021
Monetary and Fiscal Timetables
Aug 30, 2021
The Profits Wave
Aug 23, 2021
The Investment Implications of a Mutating Economy
Aug 09, 2021
New Palette Same Picture
Aug 02, 2021
The Variants and the Vaccines
Jul 19, 2021
Speeding More Slowly
Jul 12, 2021
After the Storm
Jul 06, 2021
The Season of Supercharged Demand
Jun 28, 2021
Why the Bond Market is Ignoring Inflation
Jun 14, 2021
The Fed’s Forecasts
Jun 07, 2021
The Evolving Expansion
Jun 01, 2021
U.S. Housing - Booming not Bubbling
May 25, 2021
Midterm Report Card
May 17, 2021
The Jobs Mosaic and the Outlook for Interest Rates
May 10, 2021
The Washington Menu
Apr 26, 2021
Commodities and the Risk of Inflation
Apr 19, 2021
Inflation, Taxes and the Need for Mindful Investing
Apr 12, 2021
Double-Dose
Apr 05, 2021
The Calm before the Surge
Mar 29, 2021
Runway for the Rotation
Mar 23, 2021
Time for a Fed Change of Tune
Mar 15, 2021
Boil then Simmer
Mar 08, 2021
Interest Rates and Equities in a Strengthening Economy
Mar 01, 2021
Interest Rates in an Early Spring
Feb 22, 2021
Investing With a Lead
Feb 16, 2021
A New Year for China
Feb 08, 2021
The Race to Full Employment
Feb 01, 2021
The Pandemic Crisis and the Policy Reaction
Jan 26, 2021
The Investment Implications of Biden Rescue Plan
Jan 19, 2021
The Price of Partisanship
Jan 04, 2021
The Investment Implications of the Stimulus Deal
Dec 21, 2020
What the Fed Can’t Fix
Dec 14, 2020
The Need for Support more than Stimulus
Dec 07, 2020
The Investment Implications of a Falling Dollar
Dec 01, 2020
The Winter Wave and the 2021 Rebound
Nov 23, 2020
A Long-Term Perspective on Investing
Nov 16, 2020
Mapping out the road ahead
Nov 10, 2020
Recovery Realities
Oct 26, 2020
Reversing the Population Pause
Oct 19, 2020
The Fed’s Timetable
Oct 12, 2020
The Investment Implications of a Contested Election
Sep 28, 2020
The Problem with MMT
Sep 21, 2020
The Pandemic Marathon
Sep 08, 2020
An Exuberant Rally in an Incomplete Recovery
Aug 31, 2020
Average-Inflation Targeting in a Washington without Hawks
Aug 24, 2020
The Human Implications of the Washington Stalemate
Aug 17, 2020
The Investment Implications of the Coronavirus Debt Surge
Aug 10, 2020
The View from the Base of Recovery Mountain
Aug 03, 2020
An Antidote to Risk
Jul 28, 2020
The Backroads of Economic Recovery
Jul 06, 2020
The Investment Implications of a Rolling-Wave Pandemic
Jun 29, 2020
Risks to the Market
Jun 15, 2020
The Patchwork Quilt
Jun 01, 2020
Patterns of Recession
May 26, 2020
Lessons from East Asia
May 05, 2020
Inflation risks in the wake of the pandemic
Apr 28, 2020
The Road to Recovery
Apr 21, 2020
Why the stock market isn't more worried
Apr 14, 2020
The Investment implications of the CARES act
Mar 31, 2020
Holding an economy in suspended animation
Mar 24, 2020
The Investment Implications of COVID-19 ; an update
Mar 17, 2020
The year of the virus
Mar 03, 2020
When Markets drift apart
Feb 19, 2020
Adjusting strategy for slower growth
Feb 11, 2020
Virus
Feb 04, 2020
Getting to 21 without going bust
Jan 21, 2020
Stable Growth, Fading Risks and Rising Valuations
Jan 13, 2020
Understanding Underreaction
Jan 06, 2020
Hot and Cold Wars
Dec 30, 2019
A Turning Point in Trade Turmoil
Dec 16, 2019
Holding pattern
Dec 10, 2019
Extra Toothpaste in the Tube: The Remarkable Elasticity of U.S. Labor Supply
Dec 02, 2019
Giving Thanks and Planning Ahead
Nov 25, 2019
Fiscal Truth and Investment Consequences
Nov 18, 2019
The Inflation Corridor
Nov 11, 2019
A Sudden Change in Seasons: Investing in a Slower-Growing Economy
Nov 04, 2019
Jigsaw
Oct 29, 2019
The Problem with Profits
Oct 21, 2019
Winning Ugly
Oct 14, 2019
Close Calls
Oct 07, 2019
2020 Vision and Political Distortions
Oct 01, 2019
Why the Fed shouldn’t cut rates on Wednesday (but probably will)
Sep 16, 2019
Recession or Resilience: The Hiring Tiebreaker
Sep 09, 2019
Filling in the Demographic Pothole
Aug 26, 2019
The Message from the Yield Curve
Aug 19, 2019
Investing for the Middle Run
Aug 12, 2019
The Investment Challenge from Washington Policies
Aug 05, 2019
New Brush Strokes for the Big Picture
Jul 29, 2019
Summer Sequels
Jul 22, 2019
The Investment Implications of Excessive Stimulus
Jul 15, 2019
Chairman Powell’s Message
Jul 08, 2019
Can the Fed stop at just two rate cuts?
Jul 01, 2019
Schrodinger’s Market
Jun 24, 2019
The Fed Shows its Hand
Jun 17, 2019
Nice Levels – Shame about the Pace
Jun 10, 2019
Investing for a Middle-Case Scenario
Jun 03, 2019
The Slowdown is Coming -Take Two
May 28, 2019
Adjusting to Demographic Reality
May 21, 2019
Tariffs and the Lessons of History
May 13, 2019
The hierarchy of monetary mistakes
May 06, 2019
Investment implications of 'All systems go'
Apr 29, 2019
Slowdown is coming
Apr 22, 2019
Federal credit card day
Apr 15, 2019
Down the middle of a narrowing road
Apr 08, 2019
Water stops
Apr 01, 2019
Framing the Fed
Mar 25, 2019
Delaying deadlines
Mar 18, 2019
Wheels down for soft landing
Mar 11, 2019
Why deficits matter - The problem with one more steak
Mar 04, 2019
The extra sixpence
Feb 25, 2019
Political lions and corporate cattle
Feb 19, 2019
Decaffeinated economy
Feb 11, 2019
Microwaves and markets
Feb 05, 2019
Labeling the boxes
Jan 28, 2019
Wounded Warriors
Jan 23, 2019
Earnings and the fog of Wall
Jan 14, 2019
Momentum investing, momentum economics, Washington
Jan 07, 2019
Investment implications of stock market swoon
Dec 31, 2018
Happy Holidays!
Dec 24, 2018
One Sword and Three Dragons: What the Fed Should Do Next
Dec 17, 2018
A better way to forecast growth
Dec 11, 2018
Reduced risks
Dec 03, 2018
Chinese-American chicken
Nov 26, 2018
Giving thanks for low inflation
Nov 19, 2018
Pay, wait or forget about it
Nov 12, 2018
Cyclical implications of mid-term elections
Nov 05, 2018
Grass beneath the leaves - Fundamentals still supporting
Oct 30, 2018
Friday night lights out
Oct 22, 2018
A tumble without a theme
Oct 15, 2018
The case of rising rates
Oct 08, 2018
Balance at takeoff, landing
Oct 01, 2018
The asset arcade
Sep 24, 2018
The problem with populism
Sep 10, 2018
Fixing the roof and making hay
Sep 04, 2018
The investment implications of a return to 2% growth
Aug 27, 2018
The flight to Jackson Hole
Aug 21, 2018
Getting the test back
Aug 13, 2018
Organizing the international desk
Aug 06, 2018
The Fed's focus
Jul 30, 2018
Four to six inches of GDP growth
Jul 23, 2018
The danger in the deficit
Jul 16, 2018
Pizza Shop Pressures - Economic disortions at the edge
Jul 09, 2018
Heating Up, Cooling Down, Preparing for What Comes Next
Jul 03, 2018
Halftime checklist
Jun 25, 2018
My Trade Deficit with Costco
Jun 18, 2018
The hare and the pack
Jun 11, 2018
Vodka and Espresso
Jun 04, 2018
Roadblocks
May 28, 2018
American retailer habits
May 21, 2018