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The Assessment podcast examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us.
The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic. The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia.
For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/
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| Episode | Date |
|---|---|
|
Crisis in the Sahel
|
Aug 13, 2026 |
|
Hormuz: choking the Strait
|
Jul 30, 2026 |
|
NATO and the five percent
|
Jul 16, 2026 |
|
Russia’s fiscal reckoning
|
Jul 01, 2026 |
|
The Assessment
|
Jun 29, 2026 |