Political Digest

By Political Digest

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Category: Politics

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Episodes: 14

Description

A weekly synthesis of the best data-driven U.S. political analysis. Each Friday, we distill insights from pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the spectrum into one clear analysis. We report what the analysts find; we don't pick a side.

politicaldigest.substack.com

Episode Date
Looking for the Catch: Four Cycles of Midwest Polling Misses, the Republicans Who Stay Home, and a Maine-Ohio Swap in the Senate
Oct 02, 2026
Thirty-Three Percent, a Wave That Polls Loudest in Red States, and the Twenty Seats Between the Models and the Race-Raters
Sep 25, 2026
The Eight-Point Ballot the Race-Raters Won't Call a Wave, Trump's Worst-Ever Inflation Mark, and Why New Hampshire Is Republicans' Lifeline
Sep 18, 2026
Two-to-One in Texas, Fifty-Fifty for the Senate: The Week Republicans Put Trump Back on the Ballot
Sep 12, 2026
Ideology Beats Age in Massachusetts, Republican Candidates Poll Ahead of Their President, and Nobody Wants to Pay in Texas
Sep 04, 2026
Trump's Runoff Sweep, and the Fight Over Whether Democrats' Red-State Leads Will Hold
Aug 29, 2026
A Sixteen-to-One Upset, a Fake-Poll Reckoning, and the Week Texas Became a Toss-Up
Aug 22, 2026
The Great Escape in Wisconsin, the Tear-It-All-Down Voter, and a Coin-Flip Senate
Aug 15, 2026
Michigan by One: The Left's First Swing-State Win and the Twelve-Point Polling Miss
Aug 07, 2026
New Lows and New Lines: Trump's Worst Polling Week and Likely Paths to a Changing of the Guard in Congress
Aug 01, 2026
Under Water by Twenty, Ahead by Six: The Voters Who Dislike Trump but Won't Say "Democrat"
Jul 25, 2026
The Do-Over Week: Maine Pivots, Michigan Flips, and the Forecasts Agree
Jul 17, 2026
Maine Resets, the Left Advances, and the Missing Ninety Percent
Jul 11, 2026
The Math, the Meaning, and the Measurement
Jul 10, 2026